When Might All New Cars Be Electric?

 Gasoline vehicles, you’re on the way to becoming part of history. As part of a larger effort to reduce greenhouse gas emissions, a number of states have created mandates to eventually end the sale of gas-powered vehicles.Transportation accounts for about a third of greenhouse gas emissions according to the EPA, and experts say a mandated switch from gas to electric vehicles could put a real dent into resolving that problem. That means exactly what you think it does: One day, new gas-powered vehicles will not be available to purchase.

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While incentives aimed at increasing the number of hybrid and electric vehicles have been around for a while, they haven’t produced the demand for electric vehicles as much as is needed to reduce emissions and reliance on fossil fuels. As a result, some states have taken the decision out of the hands of consumers and committed to ending the sale of new gas-powered vehicles by 2035. 

It’s a big change that won’t happen overnight, of course, so the gradual shift from gas-powered vehicles to electric vehicles is likely to linger for many decades even once the mandates are in place. 

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When Will Sales of Gas-Powered Vehicles End in the United States?

While a number of states have taken aim at ending the sale of new gas-powered vehicles, the internal combustion engine used by those vehicles doesn’t really have a final expiration date just yet. There are different reasons for that. While some states have set a concrete timeline, others have simply set goals without actual mandates. Still others simply offer financial incentives for drivers who are willing to make the switch.

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At the federal government level, there is not yet a plan, much less a mandate, to require the end of gasoline-powered car sales across the U.S.In an attempt to get the federal government on board with the idea, a group of 12 state governors banded together in 2021 to ask the White House to institute a federal moratorium on the sale of new gas-powered cars by 2035

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That might seem like an ambitious goal, but it is technically and economically possible for all new cars and trucks to be electric by 2035 according to a study from the University of California at Berkeley.Even without such a mandate, however, most projections show electric vehicles representing anywhere between 25 and 40 percent of new vehicle sales in the United States by 2035. That represents a big increase over the coming decade or so, but those projections still fall far short of the goal some states have set to completely eliminate the sale of new gas-powered vehicles. 

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What’s the Hold Up Against Ending All Sales of Gas-Powered Vehicles?

The drive to end the sale of gas-powered vehicles in the United States faces a number of obstacles. Car manufacturers actually aren’t part of the issue; most are firmly behind the switch. Key reasons for the hold up include:Completely switching from gas to electric-powered passenger vehicles will require a large investment in infrastructure, as most locations are under-served by electric vehicle charging stations.

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If a federal mandate were to be enacted, it’s likely that those states would receive assistance of some sort to help them recover any financial shortfalls they might experience. Infrastructure assistance would also likely be included in any federal mandate, too.

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My State Has No Plans to Require the Sale of EVs. What Does That Mean?

If your state doesn’t have a mandate yet, that could mean a handful of things. For example, your state might have set a goal to end or reduce the sales of new gas-powered vehicles, which could turn into a mandate if relevant legislation is passed. 

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Your state could also be in the process of trying to pass a mandate. For example, Washington state passed legislation that would have ended the sale of new gas-powered vehicles by 2030, but the governor vetoed it because the legislation tied the mandate to road use fees. The governor explained that “achieving a goal of 100% electric vehicles is too important to tie to the implementation of a separate policy like the road usage charge.”  

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